Lagged Response and Timing of Events in Environmental Time Series

Birgit Erni will present the Department of Statistical Science seminar with a talk entitled "Lagged Response and Timing of Events in Environmental Time Series".

Abstract: These are two topics I have come across when working with time series of pollen counts. Questions I am trying to answer are:

  1. When did the pollen season start and can we find an interval estimate for this?
  2. How to deal with lagged response for predicting daily pollen counts?

Keywords: calibration, inverse regression, splines, seasonality, distributed lag models (DLM), signal regression, ecological memory, stochastic antecedent model (SAM), functional data analysis (FDA)

Birgit Erni is a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town.  She is core member of the Centre for Statistics in Ecology, Environment and Conservation (SEEC).

Mon, 27 Aug 2018 - 13:00

PD Hahn Building Lecture Theatre 3, Upper Campus, UCT